Your Daily Polling Update for Friday, August 28, 2020
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Same as yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s numbers are based on polls that were taken before Trump’s speech last night…. The average today is based on five polls, ranging from 42% (Politico) to 47% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes it would still be 44%.... Trump’s disapproval rating averages 54% today (same as yesterday)…. See the trend in Trump’s job approval average since the beginning of 2020 at approval trend.
HOW IKE LED
By Susan Eisenhower
Published by Thomas Dunne Books
Few people have made decisions as momentous as Dwight Eisenhower—from World War II to the early years of the Cold War. In many of his roles he was the first to take on the responsibility—from the first supreme commander of unified forces in Europe during World War II, the first Supreme Commander of NATO after the war, and the first president of the space age. He brought to his responsibilities, integrity, principled leadership, accountability, and a determination to forge unity of purpose.
How Ike Led shows us not just what this consequential American did, but why—and what we can learn from him today.
Said former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates: "Susan Eisenhower's How Ike Led distills from her grandfather's life the enduring qualities of successful leadership…. with lessons highly relevant and desperately needed for current and aspiring leaders, especially those in public life."
To purchase the book, click here
JOE BIDEN’S PROFILE
Among voters nationwide
NOTE: THE NUMBERS BELOW ARE BASED ON POLL INTERVIEWS CONDUCTED BETWEEN SUNDAY AND TUESDAY OF THIS WEEK:
Perceived Biden ideology: Would you say Joe Biden is...
Liberal/very liberal: 51%
RON’S COMMENT: Among all voters, Biden is perceived mostly as a liberal. But, among his own supporters, he’s perceived as a moderate: 53% of Biden’s voters see him as a moderate and only 26% see him as liberal/very liberal.
Clear policies: Has Joe Biden given you a clear idea of what policies he will enact if elected president?
Completely/somewhat clear: 52%
Not very clear/not clear at all: 41%
RON’S COMMENT: A majority of voters believe Biden has been at least somewhat clear on his policies. 83% of his own voters and 40% of independents agree.
Honesty: Do you think Joe Biden is honest and trustworthy, or not?
Honest and trustworthy: 43%
Not honest and trustworthy: 39%
Not sure: 18%
RON’S COMMENT: Among the entire electorate, more voters view Biden as honest and trustworthy than those who don’t, although the margin is not very big (4 points). Here are the poll's internal numbers:
- Biden’s ace in the hole: While Biden's numbers aren't that great on honesty and trustworthiness, Trump’s numbers are worse: 35% of all voters think Trump is honest and trustworthy (8 points lower than Biden); 54% see Trump as not honest and trustworthy (15 points higher than Biden); and 11% are unsure.
- Of Biden’s supporters: 80% see him as honest and trustworthy, 3% see him as not and 17% are unsure. One-fifth of Biden’s own supporters cannot say their candidate is honest and trustworthy.
- Of Trump’s supporters: 76% see him as honest and trustworthy, 7% see him as not and 17% are unsure––which means almost one-fourth of his supporters cannot say their candidate is honest and trustworthy.
- Among independents: 30% see Biden as honest and trustworthy and 36% see him as not; 27% see Trump as honest and trustworthy and 51% see him as not.
Cares about people: How much do you think Joe Biden cares about the needs and problems of people like you?
A lot/some: 51%
Not much/doesn’t care at all: 44%
RON’S COMMENT: A majority of voters believe Biden cares about the needs and problems of people like them. 88% of his own voters and 44% of independents agree.
Likability: Regardless of whether you agree with him, do you like or dislike Joe Biden as a person?
Neither like nor dislike: 23%
RON’S COMMENT: More voters like than dislike Biden, but the balance of power is among those voters who neither like nor dislike him. 77% of Biden’s own voters and 29% of independents like him. 17% of his own voters and 27% of independents neither like nor dislike him.
Leadership strength: Would you say Joe Biden is a strong or a weak leader?
RON’S COMMENT: 88% of Biden’s own voters see him as a strong leader, but 11% see him as weak. Among independents, 45% see him as a strong leader and 56% see him as weak (Note: rounding sometimes produces a total of more than 100%).
Handling the outbreak: Are you confident in Joe Biden’s ability to deal with the COVID-19 outbreak, or are you uneasy about his approach?
RON’S COMMENT: 87% of Biden’s supporters are confident in his ability to deal with the outbreak. Among independents, 32% are confident in him and 43% of independents are uneasy.
Handling international crisis: Are you confident in Joe Biden’s ability to deal wisely with an international crisis, or are you uneasy about his approach?
RON’S COMMENT: 86% of Biden’s supporters are confident in his ability to deal wisely with an international crisis. Among independents, 35% are confident in him and 41% of independents are uneasy with him.
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
JOE BIDEN PROFILE: The Economist/YouGov, Aug. 23-25
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Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes daily, Monday thru Friday, between now and the Nov. 3 election. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron