Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, February 21, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Down 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 41% (Reuters) to 49% (Rasmussen). Without these two extremes, it would be 43%.... President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today, which is 8 points higher than his approval rating.
NEW HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY
Among Democratic primary voters statewide
Joe Biden: 28%
Bernie Sanders: 20%
Kamala Harris: 14%
Elizabeth Warren: 9%
Beto O’Rourke: 6%
Cory Booker: 3%
Kirsten Gillibrand: 3%
Others came in at 2% or less
RON’S COMMENT: This New Hampshire primary poll shows Biden, Sanders and Harris holding the top three positions, as do most national polls. These results should be especially disappointing to fourth-place finisher Warren, who represents the neighboring state of Massachusetts…. When asked for their second choice, Harris was first with 28%, then came Biden at 26%, Booker 24%, Warren 22%, Sanders 21% and O’Rourke 20%.... Sanders won the 2016 New Hampshire primary with 60% of the vote…. This poll finds that the most important quality in a Democratic candidate is his or her chance of beating Trump: 33% pick electability as the top quality, while 22% want honesty and trustworthiness and 20% want someone who agrees with them on issues…. Interestingly, 26% of primary voters (which includes Democrats and independents) say they would NOT vote for Warren if she were the nominee, 23% would NOT vote for Bloomberg and 21% would NOT vote for Sanders.
Among voters nationwide
Which of these words would you use to describe Donald Trump, and which of these words would you not use to describe Donald Trump?
% = Would use to describe Trump / % = Would definitely NOT use
RON’S COMMENT: Looking at only Republicans: 45% would use the word “honest” to describe Trump, while 8% would definitely not use it and 47% don’t know…. 30% of Republicans would use the word “religious” to describe Trump, while 14% would definitely not and 57% don’t know…. 68% of Republicans would use the word “patriotic” to describe Trump, while 2% would definitely not and 29% don’t know…. 74% of Republicans would use the word “strong” to describe Trump, while 3% would definitely not and 23% don’t know.
ALLY OR ENEMY?
Among voters nationwide
Do you consider the countries listed below to be a friend or an enemy of the United States?
% = Ally or Friendly/Unfriendly or Enemy
RON’S COMMENT: 9% of Democrats view Russia as an ally or friend, while 24% of Republicans do…. 66% of Democrats view Mexico as an ally or friend, while 54% of Republicans do…. There is little difference by party on China.
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NEW HAMPSHIRE: UMass Amherst, Feb. 7-15
TRUMP’S TRAITS, ALLY OR ENEMY: The Economist/YouGov Poll: Feb. 17-19