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LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Polling Cuomo, Cruz, AOC, Cheney – New Hampshire Senate

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Your Daily Polling Update for Monday, March 1, 2021

BIDEN JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 55%
Down 1 from last Tuesday

RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 50% (Rasmussen) to 62% (Politico). Without these extremes it would still be 55%.... Biden’s disapproval rating averages 41% today (+1 from last Tuesday).

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron

SENATE 2022: NEW HAMPSHIRE
Among voters statewide

Gov. Chris Sununu (R) over Sen. Maggie Hassan (D): +2 (48-46)
Sen. Maggie Hassan (D) over ex-Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R): +5 (48-43)
Sen. Maggie Hassan (D) over Don Bolduc (R): +13 (52-39)
Sen. Maggie Hassan (D) over Corey Lewandowski (R): +19 (53-34)
 
RON’S COMMENT: Gov. Sununu posts a slight lead over Senate incumbent Hassan. Democrat Hassan, however, leads former GOP Sen. Ayotte by a modest margin. She also beats Bolduc, a retired army officer, and Lewandowski, a former Trump campaign operative, by substantial margins.

NATIONAL FAVORABILITY RATINGS
Among voters nationwide

Do you have a favorable or an unfavorable opinion of the following…. 

% = Favorable/Unfavorable 

  • Andrew Cuomo: 29%/53% 
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 42%/42%
  • Bernie Sanders: 51%/42%
  • Joe Manchin: 23%/34% 
  • Ted Cruz: 33%/55% 
  • Liz Cheney: 30%/42% 
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene: 21%/42% 

RON’S COMMENT: Random observations–– 

  • Cuomo has taken a major tumble since the early days of the pandemic when he was white hot. His ratings are now lopsidedly negative; the nursing-home matter and the recent harassment allegations are having a worsening impact. His positive rating among fellow Democrats nationwide is 51%., down from 71% last April. Republicans are now 10% favorable/71% unfavorable toward the New York governor, and independents are 19% favorable/59% unfavorable. 
  • AOC’s popularity among fellow Democrats nationwide (73% favorable/11% unfavorable) makes her a serious player within her party. Of course, Republicans detest her (13% favorable/69% unfavorable).
  • Sanders maintains strong ratings. Among Democrats, he’s 83% favorable/13% unfavorable.
  • Manchin is the independent-minded, centrist Democrat who causes heartburn for his party’s leaders. It shows in national polling: He’s net negative among his own party, 25% favorable/34% unfavorable––even though without him, Democrats would not control the Senate (he represents West Virginia, a pro-Trump bastion).
  • Cruz still does pretty well among Republicans (60% favorable/25% unfavorable) despite the torrent of negative publicity he’s received from his Cancun jaunt. Of course, Democrats despise him (11% favorable/80% unfavorable) and independents are strongly negative (28% favorable/56% unfavorable). 
  • Republicans think more of Marjorie Taylor Greene than Liz Cheney, as we've been seeing in national polls since mid-January. Among fellow Republicans, Cheney is 20% favorable/45% unfavorable. Among fellow Republicans, Taylor Greene is 34% favorable/19% unfavorable.

PANDEMIC RELIEF LEGISLATION
Among voters nationwide

[Asked of voters who have heard of the pandemic relief bill]: Do you support or oppose the $1.9 trillion COVID-19 aid package currently being passed through Congress? 
 
Support: 65%
Oppose: 28%
Not sure: 7%
 
RON’S COMMENT: Support remains strong for Biden’s pandemic relief bill. Support by party: 90% among Democrats, 39% among Republicans and 62% among independents.

SOURCES
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NEW HAMPSHIRE: Univ. of New Hampshire, Feb. 18-22
PANDEMIC RELIEF LEGISLATION, FAVORABILITY RATINGS: The Economist/YouGov, Feb. 19-22

Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron

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