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LUNCHTIME POLITICS: Georgia Senate Update, New Numbers

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Your Daily Polling Update for Sunday, December 20, 2020

U.S. SENATE ELECTIONS
Among voters statewide

GEORGIA (Special Election)
(Emerson) Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) over Raphael Warnock (D): +3 (51-48)
(Trafalgar-R) Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R) over Raphael Warnock (D): +6 (52-46)
Average of last three polls: Loeffler +3.3
 
GEORGIA (Regular Election)
(Emerson) Sen. David Perdue (R) over Jon Ossoff (D): +3 (51-48) 
(Trafalgar-R) Sen. David Perdue (R) over Jon Ossoff (D): +2 (50-48)
Average of last three polls: Perdue +2
 
COMMENT: Both new polls show Republicans Loeffler and Perdue leading, but it’s still close enough for turnout to be decisive. 

  • How did the polls do in November? The final polling average for the November 3 election in Georgia had Ossoff ahead of Perdue by 1.2 points; in the actual election, Perdue led by 1.8 points. The final Emerson College poll in November showed Ossoff ahead by 1 point.

SELECTION OF TV ADS IN GEORGIA SENATE RACE
 
Perdue ads:
https://youtu.be/5BUUWuGrZzc
https://youtu.be/U02uE2o57GE
https://youtu.be/Kww8w6Ydfls
https://youtu.be/8jMAOFuqN1Q
 
Ossoff ads: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WK8OhS4NgX8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CXsduF1J0kA
https://thegrio.com/2020/12/10/jon-ossoff-campaign-ad-the-talk/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TscqODJSHnE
 
Warnock and Ossoff:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P9RJosAtsn4
 
Anti-Ossoff:
https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/12/17/sen-david-perdue-campaign-releases-ad-democrat-georgia-senate-candidate-jon-ossoffs-shady-china-connection/
 
Anti-Warnock and Ossoff:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/12/18/georgia-gop-attack-ad-runoff-stakes/
 
Anti-Perdue:
https://www.newsweek.com/veterans-group-almost-2-milion-perdue-advert-1555906

We will have more ads as we get closer to the election.

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