Your Daily Polling Update for Thursday, March 19, 2020
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 44%
Down 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on four polls, ranging from 43% (Reuters, Politico) to 47% (Rasmussen). The fourth poll has it at 44%.... President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 54% today (+2 from yesterday), which is 10 points higher than his approval rating.
TRADE GROUPS AND PROFESSIONAL SOCIETIES:
Now is the time to survey your members.
As the coronavirus adds new challenges to a range of professions and businesses, it's more important than ever that national associations and societies survey their memberships. It's crucial to stay on top of the issues that are impacting members: How is the pandemic affecting business and practices? What are the challenges? How can a national association help? What government policies are needed? Certus Insights, a full-service survey research firm based in the DC area, specializes in confidential member surveys and studies.
For more information on membership surveys, contact Andrew Rugg at firstname.lastname@example.org. To see the quantitative and qualitative research offerings from Certus, go to link.
Now is the time to know what your members need.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic primary voters nationwide
Biden over Sanders: +21 (57-36)
RON’S COMMENT: Biden holds a big national lead over Sanders. Biden wins women 60-32, men 52-41, whites 57-36 and blacks 71-24. Sanders wins Hispanics 47-44…. Democrats think the race is over: 71% of Democratic voters think Joe Biden will win the nomination and only 14% think Sanders will win.
Among Democratic primary voters statewide
Biden over Sanders: +17 (42-25)
RON’S COMMENT: Sanders can’t catch a break anywhere. The Connecticut primary is scheduled for April 28 and 60 delegates are at stake.
CORONAVIRUS: TRUE OR FALSE?
Among adults nationwide
Do you think the following statements are true or not true?
The U.S. is concealing the true scale of its coronavirus deaths.
Definitely/probably true: 48%
Definitely/probably not true: 52%
RON’S COMMENT: 62% of Democrats and 27% of Republicans say this is definitely/probably true.
The coronavirus is a man-made epidemic.
Definitely/probably true: 47%
Definitely/probably not true: 53%
RON’S COMMENT: 45% of Democrats and 48% of Republicans say this is definitely/probably true.
The threat of the coronavirus is being exaggerated for political reasons.
Definitely/probably true: 41%
Definitely/probably not true: 59%
RON’S COMMENT: 29% of Democrats and 54% of Republicans say this is definitely/probably true.
Fraud perpetrated by the deep state.
Definitely/probably true: 31%
Definitely/probably not true: 69%
RON’S COMMENT: 22% of Democrats and 42% of Republicans say this is definitely/probably true.
Foreign plot to attack the world.
Definitely/probably true: 27%
Definitely/probably not true: 73%
RON’S COMMENT: 24% of Democrats and 33% of Republicans say this is definitely/probably true.
The coronavirus is a hoax.
Definitely/probably true: 13%
Definitely/probably not true: 86%
RON’S COMMENT: 15% of Democrats and 16% of Republicans say this is definitely/probably true.
Among adults nationwide
Do you think the coronavirus epidemic is a national emergency?
Taking into consideration both your risk of contracting it and the seriousness of the illness, how worried are you personally about experiencing coronavirus?
Very worried: 15%
Somewhat worried: 41%
Not too/not worried: 44%
How would you describe the way you are thinking about coronavirus?
I am probably not taking the risks seriously enough: 10%
I am probably behaving appropriately: 81%
I am probably overreacting to the actual risks of contracting the virus: 4%
How do you plan on changing your travel plans for the next few months?
I will travel more: 2%
I have trips planned and have not cancelled them: 14%
I have cancelled travel plans: 50%
I did not have any trips planned: 34%
Do you think the coronavirus will lead to an economic recession?
Yes, recession: 55%
No, no recession: 16%
Not sure: 29%
Do you think the U.S. is handling the coronavirus epidemic better than or worse than other countries, or is the U.S. doing about as well as most other countries?
Better than most countries: 33%
Worse than most countries: 29%
About the same as most countries: 26%
Not sure: 12%
RON'S COMMENT: Keep in mind, this poll was conducted several days ago. Fast-moving events since then may have altered some of these attitudes.
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION, CORONAVIRUS: TRUE OR FALSE?, CORONAVIRUS: SERIOUSNESS: The Economist/YouGov, March 15-17
CONNECTICUT: Hartford Courant, Feb. 24-March 12