Your Daily Polling Update for Tuesday, December 10, 2019
TRUMP JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 45%
Up 1 from yesterday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 40% (Quinnipiac) to 50% (Rasmussen). Without these extremes, it would still be 45%.... President Trump’s disapproval rating averages 52% today (-1 from yesterday), which is 7 points higher than his approval rating.
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PRESIDENTIAL JOB APPROVAL: HISTORICAL COMPARISON
Gallup poll data
At this same point in their first terms:
- Donald Trump: 45% (today's LP average)
- Barack Obama: 43%
- George W. Bush: 56%
- Bill Clinton: 51%
- George H.W. Bush: 50%
- Ronald Reagan: 54%
- Jimmy Carter: 54%
RON’S COMMENT: Trump is doing slightly better than Obama at this point in their presidencies, but not as well as other presidents who were all in the 50s at this stage.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION
Among Democratic primary voters nationwide
Joe Biden: 30%
Bernie Sanders: 22%
Elizabeth Warren: 16%
Pete Buttigieg: 9%
Michael Bloomberg: 6%
Andrew Yang: 4%
Cory Booker: 3%
Tom Steyer: 3%
Tulsi Gabbard: 2%
Amy Klobuchar: 2%
Candidates with 1% or less not listed
RON’S COMMENT: Since last week’s poll, Biden is up 1, Sanders is up 2, Warren is up 1, Bloomberg is up 1, Steyer is up 1 and Booker is up 1.
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British general election
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BETTER OFF THAN FOUR YEARS AGO
Among voters nationwide
Is the country better off now than it was four years ago?
Better off now: 43%
Better off four years ago: 44%
Not sure: 13%
RON’S COMMENT: 10% of Democrats, 36% of independents and 78% of Republicans say the country is better off now than it was four years ago.
Among voters nationwide
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the United States Congress is handling its job?
Neither approve nor disapprove: 14%
RON’S COMMENT: Notably, only 9% of independents approve of the job Congress is doing.
Among voters statewide
Who was the longest serving British Prime Minister of the 20thcentury?
(See answer below)
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NATIONAL: DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION: Politico/Morning Consult, Oct. 28-Nov. 3; The Economist/YouGov, Nov. 3-5
NEVADA: Nevada Independent, Oct. 28-Nov. 2
MICHIGAN: Emerson, Oct. 31-Nov. 2
CONGRESS, DRAIN THE SWAMP, RIGHT DIRECTION/WRONG TRACK: Monmouth, Oct. 30-Nov. 3
When poll results add up to more than 100%, it is usually due to rounding.
L = Libertarian candidate
G = Green Party candidate
Ind = independent candidate
O = Other candidate(s)
D poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Democrats.
R poll = conducted by or for organizations generally associated with Republicans
Margaret Thatcher. Elected in 1979, she stepped down in 1990.