Your Daily Polling Update for Saturday, June 19, 2021
BIDEN JOB APPROVAL: AVERAGE 51%
Same as Thursday
RON’S COMMENT: Today’s average is based on five polls, ranging from 48% (Rasmussen) to 53% (Politico). Biden’s disapproval rating averages 44% today (same as Thursday).
MAYOR: NEW YORK CITY 2021
Among Democratic voters citywide
Democratic Primary First Choice:
Eric Adams: 21%
Maya Wiley: 17%
Kathryn Garcia: 16%
Andrew Yang: 10%
Scott Stringer: 7%
Ray McGuire: 2%
Shaun Donovan: 3%
Diane Morales: 3%
RON’S COMMENT: This poll shows Adams holding his first place slot––but second choice preferences for this Tuesday’s ranked-choice primary indicate Wiley and Garcia may have added depth:
Democratic Primary Second Choice:
Kathryn Garcia: 12%
Maya Wiley: 12%
Eric Adams: 11%
Andrew Yang: 9%
Scott Stringer: 9%
Ray McGuire: 5%
Shaun Donovan: 5%
Diane Morales: 5%
BIDEN'S HANDLING OF ISSUES
Among voters nationwide
Do you approve or disapprove of how President Biden is handling each of the following?
% = Approve/Disapprove
The economy: 47%/44%
Climate change: 47%/37%
National security: 45%/42%
RON’S COMMENT: Of the issues on this list, Biden does best on the coronavirus. The border issue is weighting him down. By party: 8% of Republicans, 72% of Democrats and 30% of independents approve of Biden’s handling of immigration.
BIDEN’S SPENDING PROPOSALS
Among voters nationwide
STIMULUS PLAN: Earlier this year, Congress passed a $1.9 trillion stimulus plan in response to the coronavirus pandemic. In general, do you support or oppose this plan?
RON’S COMMENT: 38% of Republicans, 91% of Democrats and 50% of independents support the $1.9 trillion stimulus plan in response to the coronavirus pandemic.
President Biden recently proposed two other multi-trillion-dollar spending plans.
INFRASTRUCTURE PLAN: One is an infrastructure plan to be spent on roads, bridges and trains, internet access, power grid improvements, and clean energy projects. In general, do you support or oppose this plan?
RON’S COMMENT: 41% of Republicans, 96% of Democrats and 63% of independents support Biden’s infrastructure plan as explained in this poll question…. Note that a substantial portion of Republicans, as well as a solid majority of independents, favor the plan…. If this poll question had included the additional spending items in the original Biden infrastructure plan, one wonders whether it would have impacted the result?
HEALTHCARE, CHILDCARE, PAID LEAVE, TUITION SUPPOR: The other is a plan to expand access to healthcare and childcare, and provide paid leave and college tuition support. In general, do you support or oppose this plan?
RON’S COMMENT: 38% of Republicans, 89% of Democrats and 53% of independents support this part of Biden’s proposals.
BIPARTISAN SUPPORT: What would you like to see happen with these spending plans––pass them as is even if they don’t get bipartisan support, significantly cut them in order to get bipartisan support, or not pass them at all even if they have bipartisan support?
Pass them as is: 46%
Significantly cut them: 24%
Not pass at all: 24%
RON’S COMMENT: 18% of Republicans, 80% of Democrats and 36% of independents want to pass these plans “as is” even if it means they don’t get bipartisan support…. It would have been interesting if Monmouth had conditioned this poll question (“even if”) on inflation and deficit concerns in addition to not having bipartisan support. Just saying.
INFLATION CONCERNS: How concerned are you that these spending plans could lead to inflation – that is, a big jump in the price of goods and services. Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not at all concerned about this possibility?
Not concerned: 28%
RON’S COMMENT: The threat of inflation could be the Achilles heel of Biden's spending plans…. Bipartisan majorities––93% of Republicans, 55% of Democrats and 70% of independents––say they have inflation concerns…. Unfortunately, this Monmouth survey didn’t also ask about the impact on the budget deficit and national debt.
Presidential job rating average based on recent nationwide polls.
NEW YORK CITY: McLaughlin & Associates (R), June 10-15
BIDEN HANDLING OF ISSUES: Politico/Morning Consult, June 11-13
BIDEN’S SPENDING PROPOSALS: Monmouth Univ., June 9-14
Publication schedule: Lunchtime Politics publishes when important new polling data is available, usually at least once a week. When we get closer to the next round of elections, we will resume daily publication. Thanks to all our readers and best of health, Ron
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